Bill Combs
@billcombs
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Experienced trader with long term vision. Ex Microsoft, ex Seattle resident.
Joined Apr 2023
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Do you have tobacco stocks included in your portfolio?
I have $BTI and $MOstocks in my portfolio . I keep the position the same size, but I haven't overbought in a while and don't plan to. These companies pay a very solid dividend. However, I am starting to worry about the future of this sector.
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https://asia.nikkei.com/Economy/Foreign-direct-investment-in-China-falls-to-30-year-low China's response to this is to ban the disclosure of foreign investment flows into the country. Any money in this market is pure speculation.
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What is your current perception of the $PFE?
For me, a fine company that pays a nice dividend, but I don't have this company in my portfolio because of the dividend. For me, Pfizer is a bit of a speculation, so when the stock in my portfolio starts to turn at least a little green, I'll start selling.
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PFE is a company that has not outperformed the index for me, when I look back 10 years it has virtually zero growth in all possible metrics except the pandemic. These exceptional profits have been distributed in bonuses, they have bought back some shares at bad prices and the rest has been wasted on acquisitions that are necessary to replace expiring patents and the outcome is very uncertain.
A shareholder who didn't sell at the top has zero profit in 10y, not counting dividends. These have increased over the last 5 years by about 5% and 3 years (covid!) 3%, so you can get an impression of how they think of (divi) shareholders.
I sold PFE in 2022 and very much regret buying it back last year, hold experience;)
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I also have a lower position and we'll see. The numbers aren't great so far, but I've heard that the prospects, for example, they've invested in more Tolkien rights, also something from Harry Potter ...and I think whatever it turns out to be, those are just two things people will always go for even if it's stupid. 🙈 ...and there'd probably be other things too, anyway it's a run of a few more years for me so I wouldn't expect any extra growth from it.
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It could be an interesting investment, I remember when this drink was a huge hit, trendy and everyone was buying it, there was advertising everywhere ... but I don't know, I was in my 20s, high school, college...I don't feel that way anymore, so I don't know how popular this brand is, is it still hot? 😊
More and more people have been mentioning this event lately. Yes, it's an asymmetric investment, so it's fine, but it's not for me. The costs are always going to be horrendously high, and I don't know if it's going to pay for itself.