Kryštof Jáně 2h 13 min read
Which of these big tech stocks do you currently think is the best value? 1. Nvidia $NVDA 2. Amazon $AMZN…
Brazil, results from $GOOG, $MSFT, $AMZN, index declines, the AI sector and the Fed... well, we’ve had a truly eventful week in the stock markets. It’s easy to get lost in all of this. Let’s sum it up: Monday: A Brazilian crash unlike anything the market had seen since 1998 President Lula beat Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round, winning 51.8% to 48.2%. The market and betting…
MARKET DROPS BEFORE THE U.S. ELECTIONS? I’M BUYING. I’ve been getting a lot of questions in recent days. Markets are falling, and many of you are asking whether the declines will get even deeper. I understand, so I’ll explain how I see things and what I’m doing. 💰 FIRST, AN IMPORTANT NOTE: REGULAR DEPOSIT…
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📊 Estée Lauder just delivered a BEAT & RAISE
$EL posted adj. EPS of $0.72 vs $0.51 expected (vs $0.32 a year ago) on revenue of $3.72B (+7% YoY), ahead of the ~$3.64B consensus. Management lifted its FY27 EPS guide to $3.20–$3.45 and now sees 4–5.5% organic sales growth. Shares +2.4% pre-market.
🟢 Bull case: Margins are snapping back (adj. op margin 12.1% vs 7.3%), luxury…
November and December have historically been among the best months for stocks. But October split the market in two, and this time it won’t be the calendar or the economy that decides where the rally goes, but the budgets of a handful of companies for data centers.
Amazon had the most profitable quarter in its history. Even so, it lost more than 5% in two days
BLACK Oracle confirmed its target of more than $225 billion in revenue in fiscal 2030 and, for the first time, paired it with a budget: no more than $20 billion in new capital, while some of its computing capacity will be built on third-party silicon. Meta is going to the market to raise money for the…
Revenue rose 53%, profits 70, and yet it was the worst day in the company’s history. Reddit paid the price for Google answering queries itself and sending almost nobody to websites anymore. Industry-wide figures show this isn’t just one company’s problem.
📊 Weekly Portfolio Update | October 26–30, 2026
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McDonald's, Starbucks, Chipotle, and CAVA rely on the same customer. But the one with the thinnest wallet has left the cheapest brand and is showing up at pricier ones. The market is valuing all four as if the opposite were true.
BLACK October closed in a different mood than it began. The technologies that had been driving markets higher all year got an unpleasant reminder after Alphabet and Intel reported earnings: even decent revenue can fall short when expectations are running ahead. The Fed left rates unchanged, but for the…
A clue as to why MSFT isn’t taking as much heat as the others right now :D It isn’t taking as many risks and isn’t burning through everything on AI infrastructure capex :D Now it’ll depend on whether it can keep up with Google, which is buying its way to market share with debt... see image 2
🚨 AI RECKONING: Nasdaq dives 3%+ as tech bleeds ~$1.5 TRILLION
Big Tech's AI spending spree just hit a wall. After Amazon & Alphabet misses and Intel's cash-burn warning, the Nasdaq 100 is on track for its worst day since June. S&P tech -5%+, Intel -31% (worst day since 1974), AMD -12%, Nvidia -4%+. Oil above $110 and a record $6.3B Binance hack add fuel. (Intraday figures,…
While investors today pay roughly 19 times expected earnings for U.S. stocks, there are exchanges in Asia where the same earnings cost less than half as much. But a low multiple alone does not mean a good deal. Some discounts reflect the peak of the semiconductor cycle, while others stem from the…
🚨 INTEL IS PLUNGING 25%! Are the results really that bad? 📉
Intel $INTC reported quarterly results that look very good at first glance. Nevertheless, the stock plunged by approximately 25% in after-hours trading. So what actually happened? 🤔
📊 The most important Q3 2026 figures:…
$COIN: $719M PROFIT, BUT WE’RE SEEING SELLOFFS IN THE MARKET. WHY?
📊 HOW IS THE COMPANY AND MY POSITION DOING?
$COIN makes up approximately 1.7% of my portfolio. My average purchase price is $151.6, and the position is currently down −6.1% (price: $142.4 during trading on 30. 10. 2026).…
Revenue is up 44%, profit 73%, and management has promised a figure for 2027 for the first time. Yet the stock is nearly half its annual high and down from n
But not everything is falling! Chevron is rising after its results, and dividend stocks are too.
Chevron $CVX earned nearly three times as much as it did a year ago in the third quarter. Let’s take a look at the results. Shares are rising to a new ATH. They’re already up nearly 55% this year!
🟢Adjusted earnings per share came in at 5,28 USD, while analysts expected 4,78 USD.…
Campbell's stock is near its lows after a year of declines, and screeners show a 6.8% yield. But in September, management cut the dividend for the first time since 2001, even though it had the cash to pay it. What will be left of that figure for someone buying today?
Three American technology companies keep 80 to 89 cents of every dollar of revenue after direct costs. But each arrived at an equally high gross margin by a different route, and artificial intelligence is pushing their cost structures in opposite directions. For investors, what matters is how much…
🚨 Amazon just missed — and the stock is down ~7% overnight.
Q3: EPS $1.89 vs $1.96 est. | Revenue $201.9B vs $202.3B est. (+12% YoY). AWS was the bright spot: $46.0B, +39% YoY, fastest in ~5 years. But capex hit $77.3B in one quarter, trailing free cash flow is -$42.4B, and Q4 guidance ($240–247B) came in light at the midpoint.
🟢 Bull case: AWS is re-accelerating (40%+ growth…
BLACK Lagarde is leaving the ECB nine months early, and markets celebrated with a rally. Interest rates are almost a done deal. The new ECB chief will decide something else—and France is trading support for the job for a different seat.
Over the past 2 days, all 3 big companies reported earnings: Microsoft $MSFT rose after its results, Alphabet $GOOG lost over 12%, and Amazon plunged as much as 10% right after the market close before recovering some of its losses. Yet it reported the most profitable quarter in its history. To…
BINANCE: SUSPECTED LARGEST HACK IN CRYPTO HISTORY
Over the past few days, everything has revolved around earnings season. But tonight, news broke that has nothing to do with earnings, and I want you to hear about it directly from me.
📊 WHAT HAPPENED…
This is going to be long, so grab a coffee or use AI to summarize it, but I’ll explain my view on Google after its Q3 2026 results (28. 10.) and today’s stock drop.
Google and Amazon’s nuclear power supplier, Uber’s most profitable year ever, and a gaming engine with a record quarter. All three are reporting their best numbers ever, yet the market is selling them off. Each for a different reason, and only one of those reasons makes sense.
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