Cause for concern? Wall Street downgrades these 3 well-known stocks
The markets have experienced considerable volatility in recent weeks, which has led to the S&P 500 index officially entering a correction zone. This development is the result of the unraveling of the popular "Yen carry trade" and changes in expectations regarding the future direction of monetary policy. Investors are keeping a close eye on new macroeconomic data that could influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. At the moment, the market is speculating on the direction of the central bank's actions.
In such an uncertain environment, the valuation of some stocks is becoming increasingly difficult. The following three companies we will discuss here are facing increasing pessimism from some analysts, which has led to their downgrades. Let's look at the reasons why this is the case and what investors should consider in this context.
Disney $DIS-0.1%
Disney
DISUS entertainment giant Walt Disney has seen its share value fall by 23% over the past 6 months after previously rising. As of 2019, the company's stock is down 36%, a worse result than most other large companies. The recent dispute with activist investor Nelson Peltz has not contributed to the company's good image. In addition, the selling sentiment among investors, including key insiders who have sold more than 30 million shares, raises further concerns.
Wall Street analysts see reasons for the concern that Peltz has brought to light. Disney shares are still trading 29% below their 2024 peak and have fallen 36% over the past five years. Growing concerns include a decline in attendance at theme parks, suggesting consumers are cutting back, and doubts about the brand's relevance among younger generations.
Slow growth in the second quarter and a $20 million drop in net income are reasons some investors have decided to sell their stakes. Disney has faced criticism for the delayed launch of Disney+ and problems in direct-to-consumer sales that have not offset earlier gains from ABC and ESPN. While the company has valuable intellectual property, poor management has prevented its full exploitation. This combination of problems and falling stock prices has led to Disney appearing on many investors' sell lists.
Barclays Bank lowered its target price on the stock from $130.00 to $105.00. Barclays currently has an Overweight rating on the stock.
Super Micro $SMCI+0.1%
Super Micro Computer
SMCITechnology firm Super Micro, which has been very successful in 2024, now faces challenges that may limit its future growth. The most significant issue is concerns about excessive valuation. SMCI shares are trading at 28 times past earnings, which some analysts say may be excessive, especially given the expected decline in demand.
The recent downgrade by Bank of America, which adjusted the outlook to 'Neutral' from 'Strong Buy', followed poorer Q4 results, with gross margin of 11.3% versus the expected 13.6%. Despite meeting revenue estimates, the stock fell 20%. Analysts also warned of continued margin pressure, a competitive pricing environment and delays in high-margin GPU systems.
Although the outlook for fiscal year 2025 remains strong, with revenue expected to be $28 billion versus $23.8 billion, analysts lowered their target price on the stock from $1,090 to $700, reflecting broader industry trends.
Tesla $TSLA+7.3%
Tesla
TSLATesla continues to struggle with declining demand for electric vehicles and global economic woes, which has led to a 19% drop in share price in 2024. Despite attempts to revive demand through price cuts, this strategy has resulted in a dramatic deterioration in margins. In the third quarter, the company's margins were critically eroded, raising concerns about Tesla's future as a highly profitable technology company.
Increasing competition, supply chain issues, and slowing growth are ongoing obstacles for Tesla. Analyst Craig Irwin of Roth MKM estimated that the target price for the stock would be $85 apiece, which he called "egregiously overpriced." Other analysts estimate target prices between $115 and $310 per share, which, while a wide range, reflects the uncertainty about the company's future.
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