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KJ
Kryštof Jáně
@krystofjane · Aug 21

Did you also go against the market this year and buy Microsoft $MSFT around $380? At those prices, I considered it an undervalued quality stock.

I built a very solid position already in March and I'm holding the stock with no plans to sell in the near future. The results and growth over the past weeks showed, in my view, that the market was quite wrong about this company and the stock suffered from sector-wide sell-offs.

But once investors looked at the plans and the clear goal of Microsoft $MSFT, which by the way still delivers very solid growth numbers, especially in cloud, the stock could move higher.

Overall, I like how the company communicates that huge capex; it's really massive, but still behind $AMZN and $GOOG — those have an upper limit even above $200 billion.

Microsoft found an accounting shortcut to even reduce capex without investing a single dollar less. They will simply depreciate new capacities over a longer period. Not bad, not terrible.

In my view, the company still has significant potential ahead in the coming years, and even though now, if we take declining cash flow due to that capex (Capital Expenditures), higher P/E and other metrics may make it seem a bit more expensive, it's a company I'd pay that premium for. However, I don't plan to buy at current prices.

A community member's personal view, not investment advice. Community Guidelines

MN

I bought at 377 and sold at 505

VN

For now there are (at least for me) a lot of unknowns whether their Office suite programs will be needed in the future, Copilot isn't any big hit yet either, and OpenAI is an ever bigger black box. Gaming seems quite sidelined to me at the moment, so the overblown price for ATVI + Xbox with expensive HW for AI might still hurt.

I'm in a small position at an average of about 400 USD, but I have no problem letting it go if their situation worsens.

T

Whether Office tools are used is, in my opinion, a bit irrelevant now; Microsoft is targeting mainly businesses rather than individuals...

Personally, I see a huge shift in them with the paid agent mode of GitHub Copilot, which most of my colleagues at work are using, and I myself am quite shocked at everything it can handle (it's making my work vastly more efficient, and I'm not even a programmer directly - although it's quite closely related to software development). Within the company, we're now dealing with whether we have enough tokens and how much their consumption is costing. So just a little insight into the corporate sphere.

JB

I didn't go outright against the market and opened a smaller position, but I still prefer $GOOG or $AMZN

KJ

Google is better for me too, so it takes up a bigger percentage of my portfolio :)

LA

Agreed, I also think the market was quite wrong here. I bought in the past, back when MSFT was slightly above $200. Then nothing for a long time and I added recently when it was around $360-380. I also see it as a long-term hold, I don't plan to sell. :)

KJ

My first purchase was at $170. Then I bought more at $240, and this year around $380.

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