The S&P 500 index, which reacted positively to the rate cut yesterday in the first hours, pulled back overnight and in the morning and was even more than 0.8% in the red today.
However, once retail was let into the market (from 15:30) sentiment immediately reversed.
Nice turnaround, but I would still remain cautious. The impact of retail on intraday sentiment is visible, but the long-term trend will be driven mainly by inflation data, the labor market and further Fed commentary after yesterday’s rate cut. S&P 500 is indeed close to an ATH, but December seasonality alone guarantees nothing. If macro data remain stable, a Santa Rally could indeed arrive, but for now it’s only an initial sign, not a confirmed trend.
I have mixed feelings about this and I don't know how things will develop from here. I noticed that stocks ended up falling sharply, but I don't know why.
CVS Health $CVS showed investors solid work on turning the company around — for the fourth time this year it raised its profit and revenue outlook for 2025 and confirmed that the consolidation efforts of new CEO David Joyner are delivering results. Earnings per share are expected to reach 6.60–6.70 USD, which is slightly above consensus, and revenue is expected to exceed 400... Read more
If it can grow at an 18% CAGR over the next 3–5 years, that’s not bad at all. I just don’t know how they plan to achieve that, and I don’t follow it at all, so I have no idea what’s changed there in the few years it’s been sideways.
What do you think about the recent developments around Netflix? Are you buying the stock?
$NFLX announced the takeover of rival company $WBD, which includes, for example, the streaming platform HBO. Paradoxically, this has had a negative effect on the stock and over the past month it has fallen by approximately 10%. Netflix shares hadn’t experienced any significant decline for a... Read more
Well, PARA and Trump — it looks like there could even be a reversal, and I wouldn’t mind at all if that deal fell through; then, with subsequent results, Netflix could be sold for a nice gain. I opened my position at the first drop after the announcement, and if it goes to 90 I’ll be buying more.
Shows like Game of Thrones and similar titles are what Netflix would need under its umbrella, and over a five-year horizon that would push Netflix several steps forward, especially combined with live sports broadcasts.
Anyway, I’m curious to see the next earnings and how this acquisition will turn out.
Yesterday it was announced which companies will be added to the S&P 500. Carvana was also added to the index. The company's shares are extremely volatile and have risen by more than 8,000% since 2023, which is crazy. The company currently meets all the requirements for inclusion, but that can change quickly.
What do you think about Carvana getting into the S&P 500? Do you have... Read more
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Labor Market Signals Flash a Crossroads: Economic Slump or Stock Upswing?
Markets within reach of new all-time highs!
The S&P 500 index, which reacted positively to the rate cut yesterday in the first hours, pulled back overnight and in the morning and was even more than 0.8% in the red today.
However, once retail was let into the market (from 15:30) sentiment immediately reversed.
...Read more
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Nice turnaround, but I would still remain cautious. The impact of retail on intraday sentiment is visible, but the long-term trend will be driven mainly by inflation data, the labor market and further Fed commentary after yesterday’s rate cut. S&P 500 is indeed close to an ATH, but December seasonality alone guarantees nothing. If macro data remain stable, a Santa Rally could indeed arrive, but for now it’s only an initial sign, not a confirmed trend.
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IBM Bets Big on Streaming: Confluent Becomes the Missing Link in Enterprise AI
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Fed Cuts Rates for the Third Time: But the Market Doesn’t Celebrate
Rates cut!
The Fed a short while ago announced a 25 basis-point rate cut and signaled to investors that it sees only 1 more rate cut in 2026.
And if that wasn't enough, the decision on today’s cut was far from clear within the Fed. The central bank is literally split in two.
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I have mixed feelings about this and I don't know how things will develop from here. I noticed that stocks ended up falling sharply, but I don't know why.
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Dividend Momentum Built to Last
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JOLTS Job Openings: Reading the Pulse of the U.S. Labor Market
CVS Health $CVS showed investors solid work on turning the company around — for the fourth time this year it raised its profit and revenue outlook for 2025 and confirmed that the consolidation efforts of new CEO David Joyner are delivering results. Earnings per share are expected to reach 6.60–6.70 USD, which is slightly above consensus, and revenue is expected to exceed 400...
Read more
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If it can grow at an 18% CAGR over the next 3–5 years, that’s not bad at all. I just don’t know how they plan to achieve that, and I don’t follow it at all, so I have no idea what’s changed there in the few years it’s been sideways.
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When Brand Power Outgrows the Product: How Much Upside Is Left?
What do you think about the recent developments around Netflix? Are you buying the stock?
$NFLX announced the takeover of rival company $WBD, which includes, for example, the streaming platform HBO. Paradoxically, this has had a negative effect on the stock and over the past month it has fallen by approximately 10%. Netflix shares hadn’t experienced any significant decline for a...
Read more
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Well, PARA and Trump — it looks like there could even be a reversal, and I wouldn’t mind at all if that deal fell through; then, with subsequent results, Netflix could be sold for a nice gain. I opened my position at the first drop after the announcement, and if it goes to 90 I’ll be buying more.
Shows like Game of Thrones and similar titles are what Netflix would need under its umbrella, and over a five-year horizon that would push Netflix several steps forward, especially combined with live sports broadcasts.
Anyway, I’m curious to see the next earnings and how this acquisition will turn out.
Bulios Black
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Markets Are on Thin Ice, Says JPMorgan CEO: Are Investors Ignoring the Real Risks?
Yesterday it was announced which companies will be added to the S&P 500. Carvana was also added to the index. The company's shares are extremely volatile and have risen by more than 8,000% since 2023, which is crazy. The company currently meets all the requirements for inclusion, but that can change quickly.
What do you think about Carvana getting into the S&P 500? Do you have...
Read more
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Of course I'm sorry I didn't invest in it 😂. Being added to the index will definitely help them, and the shares will keep rising for a while.