Alfred Gray

SHORTS WHAT'S COMING UP TODAY AND PARADES!

European indices try to bounce up

FOMC rate decision to be released at 8pm

J. Powell's press conference will follow at 8:30 p.m.

We are also waiting for the US crude oil inventories

EMU HICP INFLATION

EMU inflation data for April:

Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices YoY: 7.0% versus 6.9% expected and 6.9% previously

Core Harmonised Index of Consumer PricesYoY: 5.6% versus 5.6% expected and 5.7% previously

Eurozone inflation is still high and above the ECB's target. This puts the ECB in a difficult position regarding the tightening cycle. Today's PMI data...
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INFORMATION WINDOW 📊

The ISM manufacturing index in the US for April is rising!

ISM Manufacturing Index increased to 47.1 from March's 46.2

Price component moves back above the 50 point mark

US dollar strengthens slightly after the data

The indices remain at almost the same level after the release of the ISM data.

Morning shorts 📊 $MA

Another drop in $FRC due to speculation of insolvency!

Despite early reports of possible talks to support troubled First Republic Bank $FRC, the latest announcements from CNBC suggest that the bank will most likely file for insolvency.

INFORMATION WINDOW (European data, US PCE inflation.)

9:55 - Germany, unemployment for April. Expected: 5.6%. Previous: 5.6%

10:00 - Italy, GDP report for Q1 2023. Expected: 0.2% QoQ. Previous: -0.1% QoQ

10:00 - Germany, GDPreport for Q1 2023. Expected: 0.2% QoQ. Previous: -0.4% QoQ

11:00 - Eurozone, GDP report for Q1 2023. Expected: 0.2% QoQ. Previous: 0.0% QoQ

14:00 - Germany, CPI...
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$FRC Bank admitted that it suffered intense deposit outflows of $100 billion during the SVB-induced turmoil and came close to collapse. Even worse and more troubling, management refused to take and answer analysts' questions during the earnings call. Shares of First Republic Bank are trading more than 40% lower today as troubling media reports about the company continue to...
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US durable goods orders, higher than expected

Actual: 3.2% m/m. Expected: 0.8% m/m. Previous: -1.0% m/m

Durable 0.3% m/m. Expected: -0.2% m/m. Previous: -0.1% m/m

SHORT INFORMATION WINDOW

USA, GDP report for the first quarter.

GDP growth (annualized). Actual: 1.1%. Expected: 2.0%. Previous: 2.6%

Core PCE. Actual: 4.9% QoQ. Expected: 4.7% QoQ. Previous: 4.4% QoQ

US initial jobless claims. Actual: 230k. Expected: 249k. Previous: 245k.

US100 index loses, while the dollar strengthens slightly.

SHORT REPORT FROM THE BANKING SECTOR

$DB Deutsche Bank, Germany's largest bank, reported a 5% y/y growth in revenues to EUR 7.7bn (expected EUR 7.5bn) and a net profit of EUR 1.3bn (+9% y/y; expected EUR 1.0bn) for the first quarter of the year. At the same time, management reaffirmed its full-year revenue guidance, raised its planned savings by EUR 500mn and said it is on track...
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