UPS: A long-term opportunity in the market's disfavour?
United Parcel Service shares $UPS have weakened 20% over the past year and are trading near a 52-week low. Yet the company is undergoing strategic changes that could ensure its long-term growth.
1. Attractive valuation and record dividend yield
-$UPS is trading below its five-year averages in key valuation metrics.
- The dividend yield of 4.8% is near an all-time high and beats even the financial crisis.
2. Strong competitive advantage
-$UPS has a global logistics network that neither Amazon nor FedEx has been able to replicate.
- Its extensive infrastructure (aircraft, sorting centres, distribution hubs) provides a strong barrier to entry for competitors.
3. Strategic change: move away from Amazon
-$UPS reduces its cooperation with Amazon by 50%, thereby focusing on more profitable segments (e.g. healthcare).
- While this move may reduce revenue in the short term, it should improve margins and overall profitability.
Investment view
$UPS is currently facing skepticism on Wall Street, but strategic decisions suggest the company is modernizing its business and getting stronger over the long term.
For value- and dividend-focused investors, it represents a $UPS an interesting opportunity - low valuation, strong market share and a commitment to optimizing profitability. If the transformation is successful, UPS could be significantly stronger in the coming years.
The price may be low, but the stock is not rising at all. I'd rather focus on $FDX or $AMZN.
The best of this industry is $AMZN. Amazon outperforms all the companies and is much better.