Nucor (NUE): Iron certainty in steel despite 50% tariffs - outlook rises, shares strengthen
🧾 Summary of key news:
📈 What's driving Nucor's growth despite tariffs?
- Domestic demand remains strong - steelmakers like Nucor $NUE benefit from weakening imports
- Ability to pass on higher costs to customers
- Improvement across segments - most notably:
- Steel mills (higher selling prices)
- Steel products (stable prices, higher volumes, lower costs)
- Raw materials (stabilization of inputs)
- Financial discipline - share buybacks + healthy balance sheet
📌 Even though the new tariff increases costs domestically, Nucor $NUE turns the situation into an advantage - less competition from abroad = higher margins.
📉 Contrast: Steel Dynamics (STLD)
🔻 STLD, meanwhile, faces the opposite situation: tight margins, weaker demand and pressure on profitability.
📊 Nucor Fundamentals (as of 2025):
✅ Positive drivers for Nucor:
- Strong Q2 outlook despite geopolitical risk
- Financially healthy, actively repurchasing shares
- Diversifying segments (steel, raw materials, products)
- Defensive exposure to domestic market at a time of increased tariffs
⚠️ Risks:
- Tariffs may overheat domestic prices and lead to policy backlash
- Cyclical nature of the sector (highly dependent on developments in construction, manufacturing)
- Rising competition among domestic steelmakers (STLD, Cleveland-Cliffs)
🧭 Summary for the investor
🔹 Nucor $NUE is currently in a significantly stronger position than its competitors due to its ability to adapt, price and strong balance sheet.
🔹 Favorable EPS outlook + share buybacks = management confidence and positive market signal.
🔹 Valuation still attractive to investors looking for cyclical growth with a defensive element within the US.
I don't have steel mills in my portfolio, but I would need to know the competition and would be interested to know which company is the biggest/best in this sector.