The market does not need another growth story to create returns. Sometimes the opportunity is simply mispricing. A hotel REIT can trade cheaply when investors focus on cycles and ignore what sits underneath: real assets that generate cash when operations are run well. That is why a discount to asset value matters more here than a headline revenue growth rate.
The 2026 test is operational, not existential. The question is whether recent capital spending produces measurable improvement in revenue per available room and in operating profit stability. If that shows up in the numbers, the dividend becomes easier to defend and buybacks become more realistic. That is the path from a “quiet” 4% yield to a credible 28% upside.
Top points of analysis
The dividend of around 4% is now covered by cash and FFO, it is not a "desperate" payout.
The hotels are free of mortgages and the company has no debt maturities before the end of 2026 after mortgage repayments, significantly reducing near-term…