Where will the S&P 500 be in 2050?

· Aug 11

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said in June on CNBC that buying shares of SpaceX $SPCX , OpenAI, and Anthropic at IPO will be like buying $AMZN , $GOOG , or $META in their very early days.

When you see those IPO valuations, you think that Huang has either gone crazy or (and according to statistics, this is quite possible), in 25 years we'll be looking at the S&P 500 index at around 40,000 points. And the world's most valuable companies could easily have valuations around 50 trillion dollars?

It sounds insane, but if the market continues to do what it has done over the past 100 years, it could really be the case. Then you just need to pick the winners :-)

A community member's personal view, not investment advice. Community Guidelines

Vojtěch Šplíchal @vojtechsplichal Aug 12

I personally picked a large chunk of Big Tech - $GOOG, $MSFT and also $META. I invest at least until 2060, when I'll be 55, and I think we can't even imagine how far the indices can get.

Martin Sedláček @martinsedlacek Aug 11

If the market really performs as well as it has over the last 100 years, these numbers are not unrealistic at all. In my portfolio I hold $MSFT $GOOG but also $SPY itself, which covers the rest of the world's most influential and most valuable companies. Of course I will also be very interested in companies outside the index; my investment horizon is 30+ years, so I'm also looking for firms that are smaller today but in my view could play a significantly bigger role in the future. How do you have your portfolio constructed and prepared?

Marek Skácel @marekskacel Aug 11

I also have an investment horizon up to the year 2025 or even a bit beyond, so I'm calm and cover a large portion through ETFs :-)

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