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Record after record, yet the market still underestimates the company

PB
Pavel Botek
· · 20 min read

Some companies don't hold their fate in their own hands. For a cinema operator, Hollywood sits behind the wheel. Even the nicest cinema will stay empty if studios fail to deliver films people want to see. And when a strong season arrives, box offices fill up and profit soars. This very dependence makes cinemas a highly volatile business, where ordinary numbers often mislead and everything is a matter of proper timing.

Key points

  • The company just had its best quarter since 2019: revenue rose 12.5% and net profit more than doubled.

  • It operates the fourth-largest cinema chain in the US along with a portfolio of luxury hotels. Two industries in one family business.

  • It owns most of its real estate, whose market value is likely far above book value. That is a hidden reserve.

  • A price-to-earnings ratio of 40 looks high, but it is misleading due to the huge sensitivity of cinemas to the film calendar.

  • The second half of the year promises strong films like Avengers, Dune 3, and Spider-Man, which should drive attendance and profit.

The company in question, however, is much more than just a cinema operator. It is a family business with a ninety-year history that, alongside one of the country's largest cinema chains, also operates a portfolio of luxury hotels. And above all, it sits on valuable real estate that it owns. This combination—two different industries under one roof plus tangible assets in the background—makes it a more interesting and resilient story than you would expect from a cinema owner.

And right now it is doing excellently. It just had its best quarter since 2019, when both divisions were firing on all cylinders: cinemas benefited from a strong film slate, hotels from record demand. The market appreciated it and the stock climbed to annual highs. The question remains whether this is the start of a lasting recovery or just a flash driven by a coincidentally good season, followed by another slump.

That the company is enjoying good times is obvious from the numbers. More interesting is something else: is the recovery sustainable? How big is the hidden value in real estate? And how seriously should we take the long-term threat of streaming? Above all, does today's price correctly account for all this? The answer, along with a detailed analysis, valuation, and scenarios, is discussed in the paid section.

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