This is how JPM sees it today, we have all the scenarios 👇
- Rate hike stop: S&P 500 goes up 0.25% - 0.75%
- Raise rates and continue the cycle: S&P 500 will go down 0.5% - 1%
- "Hawk" miss: S&P 500 will go up
- Fed won't raise rates anymore: S&P 500 will go up sharply
Hike and pause have put the probability quite high. I had a feeling everyone was expecting more of a Hike & continue.
He's gonna go down... :)