Feed Articles

Central banks are driving us to ruin, says BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager

JC
Jamie Cameron
· · 3 min read

Investors, experts and political leaders alike agree that a recession is coming. In their view, it is not a question of if, but when and how. And the world's largest asset manager, BlackRock, has some worrying news.

BlackRock is the world's largest asset manager

Many experts are already sounding the alarm when it comes to the US economy. But BlackRock - the world's largest asset manager - has an even more radical warning. It is predicting an unprecedented recession.

"A recession is highly likely as central banks race to tame inflation," BlackRock 's team of strategists write in their global outlook for 2023. In fact, they believe that central banks are deliberately causing a recession by tightening policy too much in an attempt to bring the price level under control.

On the face of it, inflation is coming down. But this may be a false signal. Source:

In the past, when the economy went into a downturn, the Fed usually stepped in to help. But given the cause of this supposed recession, we can't count on the central bank, according to BlackRock.

"Central bankers won't come to the rescue this time when growth slows."

And that doesn't bode well for stocks. The S&P 500 index is down nearly 20% in 2022, but BlackRock believes stock valuations don't yet reflect the damage ahead.

If this recession turns out to be different than previous ones, it may be time to look for non-traditional ways to hedge against it. Here are three assets worth considering.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EhyOQ0QMINg

And what does BlackRock recommend?

Primarily to think about what they claim and play by the rules that this situation could bring. The company has broken this down into 3 points.

Damage accounting. But BR thinks there will be a turning point in 2023 when the situation will improve

They see higher yields as a gift to investors who have not had income from bonds for a long time.

Getting used to higher inflation over the long term, which will be caused by several long term effects.

What sectors or assets can do well in such a situation?

Higher interest rates can cool the economy when it gets too hot. However, the economy is not very buoyant and BlackRock sees rate rises pushing the economy into recession. And in such a situation, it is usually the most basic of consumer goods that thrive. Basic consumer goods are basic products such as food and beverages, household goods and hygiene products.

We need these things no matter how the economy is doing or what the federal funds rates are. You can afford a Gucci bag in a crisis, but not soap and food.

When inflation raises input costs, companies producing basic consumer goods - especially those with a strong market position - are able to pass those higher costs on to consumers. A typical example of such a dominant position might be the old familiar $PG.

Disclaimer: This is by no means an investment recommendation. This is purely my summary and analysis based on data from the internet and other sources. Investing in the financial markets is risky and everyone should invest based on their own decisions. I am just an amateur sharing my opinions.

Stocks mentioned

PG

PG

A community member's personal view, not investment advice. Community Guidelines

Follow Bulios on Google News

Be among the first to discover new analyses, news and market moves.

Follow

Recommended articles

Read more

The World’s Cheapest Markets? 4 ETFs for Asia

While investors today pay roughly 19 times expected earnings for U.S. stocks, there are exchanges in Asia where the same earnings cost less than half as much. But a low multiple alone does not mean a good deal. Some discounts reflect the peak of the semiconductor cycle, while others stem from the…

KJ
Kryštof Jáně
· 8h
Read more
BLACK

SoFi Stock Is 46% Below Its High. Is It Cheap, or Does It Just Look Cheap?

Revenue is up 44%, profit 73%, and management has promised a figure for 2027 for the first time. Yet the stock is nearly half its annual high and down from n

MC
Milan Charvat
· 11h
Read more
BLACK

A Slightly Spoiled Soup. Why Did the Famous Company Have to Cut Its Dividend After a 67% Plunge?

Campbell's stock is near its lows after a year of declines, and screeners show a 6.8% yield. But in September, management cut the dividend for the first time since 2001, even though it had the cash to pay it. What will be left of that figure for someone buying today?

MC
Milan Charvat
· 15h

We use essential cookies to run the website and optional analytics cookies to measure usage.

Privacy policy