Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT) Stock | BXMT Stock Price & Analysis

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BXMT

Blackstone Mortgage Trust BXMT · NYSE

$10.60 +0.14% (+$0.02)

Summary

38 / 100 · Bulios Score

Valuation 100Growth 19Profitability 59Quality 14Debt 0Stability 26

What speaks for it

The share price is below the Bulios Fair Price.
It bought back its own shares for $109.5M in the last fiscal year, 6.3% of its market value.

What to watch

Operating profit does not even cover the interest on its debt.
Earnings per share fell by 24% a year over the last 3 years.
It cut its dividend by 14% last year.
Out of every 100 USD of revenue, only 1.0 USD is left as net profit.

Bulios Scoring describes a company's quality and track record, not its future return. A high score is not a buy signal. Learn more

Score in detail

Is it expensive?

Looks cheap

Bulios Fair Price

Current price $10.6

P/E today 112.0 537% higher

5-year average P/E 17.6

P/E today 112.0

REIT - Mortgage industry median

Unlock fair price

Bulios Fair Price is an estimate of a stock's fair value from the Bulios valuation model. It is an input for your own analysis, not investment advice. How does it work?

Today you pay 112.0 USD for 1 USD of yearly profit. Over the last five years it was 17.6 USD on average.

Valuation in detail

Is it growing?

It is shrinking

Revenue (USD)

848M

1.3B

2.0B

1.8B

1.5B

614M

570M

2021202220232024202520262027

Diluted EPS (USD)

$2.77

$1.46

$1.43

-$1.17

$0.64

$1.03

$1.37

2021202220232024202520262027

Analyst estimate

Revenue grew by 14% a year over 5 years. Over the last 3 years it grew by 4.9% a year. Earnings per share fell by 24% a year over the last 3 years.

Growth in detail

Does it make money?

Reasonably

Where 100 USD of revenue goes

Cost of sales 56 USD
Sales and administration 9.9 USD
Taxes and other 49 USD
Net profit 1.0 USD

Net profit, industry median (REIT - Mortgage) 20 USD

Out of every 100 USD of revenue, 1.0 USD is left as net profit.

Profitability in detail

Is it financially healthy?

Debt is a burden

Cash and short-term investments $432.8M

Debt $15.8B

Free cash flow over 12 months $118.1M

Repaying all its debt would take 133.9 years of free cash flow. Its debt is larger than its cash.

Financial health in detail

Does it pay a dividend?

High, at risk

2.48

2.18

1.88

20212022202320242025

Yield: 18.32%
Paid out of profit: 2,052%

You receive $1.88 per share a year. The payout is more than the company can comfortably cover.

Dividends in detail

What do analysts expect?

Neutral

Buy 7
Hold 11
Sell 0

Today's price within the analysts' price targets

Today's price $10.6 Average target $19.5

$10.6 $21

The average target of $19.5 is 84% above today's price. 39% of the analysts recommend buying.

Analysts in detail

What does it earn on?

By product

The company reports no revenue by product.

By region

The company reports no revenue by region.

Segments in detail