EC

Ecopetrol S.A. EC · NYSE

$17.78 -0.67% (-$0.12)

Summary

68 / 100 · Bulios Score

What speaks for it

  • Out of every 100 COP of revenue, 10 COP is left as net profit.
  • It earns 8.7 COP a year on every 100 COP of invested capital.
  • Analysts expect revenue to grow by 14% this fiscal year.

What to watch

  • Revenue fell by 11% a year over the last 3 years.
  • It cut its dividend by 37% last year.
  • The share price is above the Bulios Fair Price.
  • It missed profit estimates 5 times in the last 8 quarters.

Bulios Scoring describes a company's quality and track record, not its future return. A high score is not a buy signal. Learn more

Score in detail

Price

Is it expensive?

Looks expensive
Bulios Fair Price
Current price $17.78
5-year average P/E 5.8 58% higher
P/E today 9.2
Oil & Gas Integrated industry median
P/E today 9.2

Bulios Fair Price is an estimate of a stock's fair value from the Bulios valuation model. It is an input for your own analysis, not investment advice. How does it work?

Today you pay 9.2 COP for 1 COP of yearly profit. Over the last five years it was 5.8 COP on average.

Valuation in detail

Is it growing?

It is shrinking

Revenue (COP)

Diluted EPS (COP)

  • Analyst estimate

Revenue grew by 17% a year over 5 years. Over the last 3 years it fell by 11% a year. For the next fiscal year analysts expect revenue to grow by 14%. Earnings per share fell by 37% a year over the last 3 years.

Growth in detail

Does it make money?

Very well

Where 100 COP of revenue goes

Net profit, industry median (Oil & Gas Integrated) 7.8 COP

Out of every 100 COP of revenue, 10 COP is left as net profit.

Profitability in detail

Is it financially healthy?

Debt is a burden

Repaying all its debt would take 7.2 years of free cash flow. Its debt is larger than its cash.

Financial health in detail

Does it pay a dividend?

Moderate, stretched
Yield
3.65%
Paid out of profit
34%

You receive $0.65 per share a year. The payout takes a large part of its profit or free cash flow.

Dividends in detail

What do analysts expect?

Neutral

Today's price within the analysts' price targets

The average target of $16 is 10% below today's price. 27% of the analysts recommend buying.

Analysts in detail

What does it earn on?

Fiscal year 2025

By product

By region

Crude oil brings in 100% of revenue.

Segments in detail

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