Graphic Packaging (GPK) Stock | GPK Stock Price & Analysis

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GPK

Graphic Packaging GPK · NYSE

$11.19 -3.03% (-$0.35)

Summary

37 / 100 · Bulios Score

Valuation 70Growth 20Profitability 23Quality 19Debt 19Stability 87

What speaks for it

It bought back its own shares for $184.0M in the last fiscal year, 5.6% of its market value.
It has been profitable 6 years in a row.

What to watch

Repaying its net debt would take 6.4 years of operating profit.
It pays out more in dividends than it earns: 176% of profit.
The share price is above the Bulios Fair Price.
Revenue fell by 3.0% a year over the last 3 years.

Bulios Scoring describes a company's quality and track record, not its future return. A high score is not a buy signal. Learn more

Score in detail

Is it expensive?

Looks expensive

Bulios Fair Price

Current price $11.19

P/E today 44.8 199% higher

5-year average P/E 15.0

P/E today 44.8

Packaging & Containers industry median

Unlock fair price

Bulios Fair Price is an estimate of a stock's fair value from the Bulios valuation model. It is an input for your own analysis, not investment advice. How does it work?

Today you pay 44.8 USD for 1 USD of yearly profit. Over the last five years it was 15.0 USD on average.

Valuation in detail

Is it growing?

It is shrinking

Revenue (USD)

7.2B

9.4B

8.8B

8.6B

8.8B

2021202220232024202520262027

Diluted EPS (USD)

$0.68

$1.69

$2.34

$2.16

$1.48

$0.66

$0.95

2021202220232024202520262027

Analyst estimate

Revenue grew by 5.6% a year over 5 years. Over the last 3 years it fell by 3.0% a year. For the next fiscal year analysts expect revenue to grow by 0.3%. Earnings per share fell by 4.3% a year over the last 3 years.

Growth in detail

Does it make money?

Poorly

Where 100 USD of revenue goes

Cost of sales 86 USD
Sales and administration 8.9 USD
Taxes and other 4.2 USD
Net profit 0.9 USD

Net profit, industry median (Packaging & Containers) 4.4 USD

Out of every 100 USD of revenue, 0.9 USD is left as net profit.

Profitability in detail

Is it financially healthy?

Debt is a burden

Cash and short-term investments $337.0M

Debt $5.50B

Free cash flow over 12 months $415.0M

Repaying all its debt would take 13.3 years of free cash flow. Its debt is larger than its cash.

Financial health in detail

Does it pay a dividend?

Moderate, at risk

0.30

0.32

0.40

0.44

20212022202320242025

Yield: 3.93%
Paid out of profit: 176%
Raised in a row: 1 year

You receive $0.44 per share a year. The payout is more than the company can comfortably cover.

Dividends in detail

What do analysts expect?

Mildly positive

Buy 13
Hold 11
Sell 3

Today's price within the analysts' price targets

Today's price $11.19 Average target $10.13

$9 $13

The average target of $10.13 is 9.5% below today's price. 48% of the analysts recommend buying.

Analysts in detail

What does it earn on?

Fiscal year 2022

By product

Paperboard Mills 100%

By region

Americas Paperboard Packaging 73%
Europe Paperboard Packaging 27%

Paperboard Mills brings in 100% of revenue.

Segments in detail