Shake Shack (SHAK) Stock | SHAK Stock Price & Analysis

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SHAK

Shake Shack SHAK · NYSE

$68.76 -3.24% (-$2.30)

Summary

50 / 100 · Bulios Score

Valuation 33Growth 90Profitability 22Quality 28Debt 93Stability 43

What speaks for it

Revenue grew by 17% a year over the last 3 years.
It holds more cash than debt: $308.0M against $263.2M.
Analysts expect revenue to grow by 14% this fiscal year.

What to watch

The share price is above the Bulios Fair Price.
Out of every 100 USD of revenue, only 2.6 USD is left as net profit.
It earns only 2.7 USD a year on every 100 USD of invested capital.

Bulios Scoring describes a company's quality and track record, not its future return. A high score is not a buy signal. Learn more

Score in detail

Price

Is it expensive?

Looks expensive

Bulios Fair Price

Current price $68.76

Restaurants industry median

P/E today 69.8

Unlock fair price

Bulios Fair Price is an estimate of a stock's fair value from the Bulios valuation model. It is an input for your own analysis, not investment advice. How does it work?

Today you pay 69.8 USD for 1 USD of yearly profit.

Valuation in detail

Is it growing?

Yes, fast

Revenue (USD)

740M

900M

1.1B

1.3B

1.4B

1.6B

1.9B

2021202220232024202520262027

Diluted EPS (USD)

-$0.22

-$0.66

$0.46

$0.24

$1.09

$1.14

$1.41

2021202220232024202520262027

Analyst estimate

Revenue grew by 23% a year over 5 years. Over the last 3 years it grew by 17% a year. For the next fiscal year analysts expect revenue to grow by 14%.

Growth in detail

Does it make money?

Poorly

Where 100 USD of revenue goes

Cost of sales 74 USD
Sales and administration 21 USD
Taxes and other 2.0 USD
Net profit 2.6 USD

Net profit, industry median (Restaurants) 4.1 USD

Out of every 100 USD of revenue, 2.6 USD is left as net profit.

Profitability in detail

Is it financially healthy?

Yes

Cash and short-term investments $308.0M

Debt $263.2M

Free cash flow over 12 months $9.82M

Repaying all its debt would take 26.8 years of free cash flow. It holds more cash than debt.

Financial health in detail

Does it pay a dividend?

It pays no dividend.

Dividends in detail

What do analysts expect?

Mildly positive

Buy 18
Hold 18
Sell 1

Today's price within the analysts' price targets

Today's price $68.76 Average target $81.53

$65 $120

The average target of $81.53 is 19% above today's price. 49% of the analysts recommend buying.

Analysts in detail

What does it earn on?

Fiscal year 2025

By product

Shack Sales 96%
Sales-Based Royalties 3.6%
Initial Territory and Opening Fees 0.2%

By region

UNITED STATES 97%
Non-US 2.6%

Shack Sales brings in 96% of revenue. Initial Territory and Opening Fees grew fastest, by 36% a year.

Segments in detail