Based on an analysis of my portfolio and the current market situation, I have three scenarios outlined for the short/medium-term outlook. I note that these scenarios are developed for my portfolio, which does not have a high correlation with the S&P 500.
Optimistic scenario: We can expect another decline of 3–5%, then a short period of... Read more
Stocks—mostly those of technology companies—have finally corrected a bit after a long time. I’m curious about your approach and how you plan your next steps. Personally, right now I’ll probably wait and save up more capital. At the same time, I’ll slightly trim my positions. For example $MSFT$NVO$BTCUSD$SPGI .....
Most tech stocks are plunging right now and probably almost everyone has a stock in their portfolio that’s at a significant loss. Over the past few days I lost the most money on $AMD and $TTD, but I trust the companies, so I’m buying more.
Which stock have you had the biggest loss on so far this year?
PayPal (for investors more like PainPal) reported very poor numbers and the stock plunged by roughly 20% yesterday. I think the company will have a very hard time now and won’t erase this loss easily. I don’t own the shares, because I’ve seen it as a speculation from the start and I don’t see any vision or solid fundamentals.
Do you think $PYPL will ever pull itself out of this... Read more
Why would a company without a meaningful moat be a good investment? $PYPL didn’t make sense at $60 and doesn’t make sense at $40 either, unless its business model shifts into the 21st century.
$AMD has once again delivered great results and exceeded all expectations. The market is sending the shares down about 8% in the premarket.
I have to say the market is riding a great wave right now, bringing us big opportunities every day. I'm excited about it, but unfortunately the truth remains that you don't know where to deploy cash first and funds aren't unlimited. Let's... Read more
With Nvidia $NVDA it once again shows how large a geopolitical risk today hangs over even the strongest technology stories. Sales of H200 AI chips to China are practically frozen — not because there isn’t demand, but because even nearly two months after the formal approval of exports it’s unclear under what conditions, if any, they will pass U.S. security reviews. Chinese... Read more
Today was an extreme sell-off. The only thing annoying me is $NVO, where I’ve been bleeding for a long time, and just when it looked like things were turning for the better, we got hit. Unfortunately, there’s nothing to be done.
Who are your top picks right now? At current prices I have three — $MSFT, $FICO (it’s brutal, but it could still go a bit lower 🤣) and $SPGI
Disney delivered pretty good numbers (in the flash news), but not good enough to outperform Netflix. In recent years Netflix has grown tremendously and $DIS isn't able to grow at the same pace. I sold $DIS shares some time ago and if I didn't already have so many positions, I'd almost certainly buy $NFLX now.
Is $DIS still interesting to you, or is $NFLX simply a much better and... Read more
I think it's hard to compare. Disney isn't all-in on producing films, series and documentaries. It also has parks, cruise ships and many other businesses where Disney has unevenly better years alternating with weaker ones (not to mention costs, the pandemic that reduced attendance in its entertainment segment, rising prices, etc.). On the other hand we have the content king, which aggressively improves monetization, content and advertising — Netflix. If you focus purely on streaming, Netflix led, leads, and will probably continue to lead.
My scenarios for the coming days and weeks
Based on an analysis of my portfolio and the current market situation, I have three scenarios outlined for the short/medium-term outlook. I note that these scenarios are developed for my portfolio, which does not have a high correlation with the S&P 500.
Optimistic scenario: We can expect another decline of 3–5%, then a short period of...
Read more
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Bulios Black
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I don't have scenarios, I'm a long-term investor.
How are you handling bleeding markets?
Hi,
Stocks—mostly those of technology companies—have finally corrected a bit after a long time. I’m curious about your approach and how you plan your next steps. Personally, right now I’ll probably wait and save up more capital. At the same time, I’ll slightly trim my positions. For example $MSFT $NVO $BTCUSD $SPGI .....
Which stocks do you...
Read more
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Bulios Black
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I also bought a bit of SOFI.
Bulios Black
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Most tech stocks are plunging right now and probably almost everyone has a stock in their portfolio that’s at a significant loss. Over the past few days I lost the most money on $AMD and $TTD, but I trust the companies, so I’m buying more.
Which stock have you had the biggest loss on so far this year?
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For me it’s $PYPL at -35% — I get nervous when they release any news and I’m waiting to see how much further it can fall 😁
Bulios Black
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PayPal (for investors more like PainPal) reported very poor numbers and the stock plunged by roughly 20% yesterday. I think the company will have a very hard time now and won’t erase this loss easily. I don’t own the shares, because I’ve seen it as a speculation from the start and I don’t see any vision or solid fundamentals.
Do you think $PYPL will ever pull itself out of this...
Read more
Zobrazit další komentáře
Why would a company without a meaningful moat be a good investment? $PYPL didn’t make sense at $60 and doesn’t make sense at $40 either, unless its business model shifts into the 21st century.
Bulios Black
This user has access to exclusive content, tools and features of the Bulios platform thanks to their subscription.
An 11% cash-backed yield: why the market remains cautious on this credit model
$AMD has once again delivered great results and exceeded all expectations. The market is sending the shares down about 8% in the premarket.
I have to say the market is riding a great wave right now, bringing us big opportunities every day. I'm excited about it, but unfortunately the truth remains that you don't know where to deploy cash first and funds aren't unlimited. Let's...
Read more
Zobrazit další komentáře
Bulios Black
This user has access to exclusive content, tools and features of the Bulios platform thanks to their subscription.
In the end, -17% — brutal. Are you buying more?
Bulios Black
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If This Sector Revives, These Stocks Could Skyrocket Up to +2000%
With Nvidia $NVDA it once again shows how large a geopolitical risk today hangs over even the strongest technology stories. Sales of H200 AI chips to China are practically frozen — not because there isn’t demand, but because even nearly two months after the formal approval of exports it’s unclear under what conditions, if any, they will pass U.S. security reviews. Chinese...
Read more
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Even if that were the case, Nvidia and AMD would cope with it somehow. It’s a risk, but certainly not large enough for me to sell those shares.
Bulios Black
This user has access to exclusive content, tools and features of the Bulios platform thanks to their subscription.
Today was an extreme sell-off. The only thing annoying me is $NVO, where I’ve been bleeding for a long time, and just when it looked like things were turning for the better, we got hit. Unfortunately, there’s nothing to be done.
Who are your top picks right now? At current prices I have three — $MSFT, $FICO (it’s brutal, but it could still go a bit lower 🤣) and $SPGI
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For me, MSFT is definitely number one of those three!
Bulios Black
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Bulios Black
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Disney delivered pretty good numbers (in the flash news), but not good enough to outperform Netflix. In recent years Netflix has grown tremendously and $DIS isn't able to grow at the same pace. I sold $DIS shares some time ago and if I didn't already have so many positions, I'd almost certainly buy $NFLX now.
Is $DIS still interesting to you, or is $NFLX simply a much better and...
Read more
Zobrazit další komentáře
I think it's hard to compare. Disney isn't all-in on producing films, series and documentaries. It also has parks, cruise ships and many other businesses where Disney has unevenly better years alternating with weaker ones (not to mention costs, the pandemic that reduced attendance in its entertainment segment, rising prices, etc.). On the other hand we have the content king, which aggressively improves monetization, content and advertising — Netflix. If you focus purely on streaming, Netflix led, leads, and will probably continue to lead.
Bulios Black
This user has access to exclusive content, tools and features of the Bulios platform thanks to their subscription.
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